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Cost, Value, and Hybrid-Based Underwriting Criteria

Author: M. Atef Sharkawy and Walter C. Barnes

Start Page: 169
End Page: 186
Volume: 7
Issue Number: 2
Year: 1992
Publication: Journal of Real Estate Research

Abstract: This study examines the correlation between loan-to-value ratios and probability of default, and tests alternative cost-based default models, using data from the portfolios of FSLIC and a major regional lender. The theoretical premises for the research are synthesized from a review of the linkages between supply and demand for space, and for capital; and of the appraisal process and its reliability. Two major conclusions are drawn from statistical evidence: (1) there is no apparent correlation between value-based underwriting criteria and between default, and (2) hard cost-based criteria correlate closely to probability of default.

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