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| Asset Allocation and
Predictability of Real Estate Returns Author: Rakesh Bharati and Manoj Gupta Start Page: 469 Abstract: We examine the issue
of optimal asset allocation among three broad classes of assets?Large Stocks (proxied
by the S&P composite index); real estate assets (a portfolio of thirty Equity Real
Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) traded on major stock exchanges); and the risk-free asset
(the one-month T-bill), employing the evidence on their predictability. An active strategy
of investing in the assets, using predicted returns from our model outperforms investing
in passive strategies, which are combinations of asset classes with fixed weights for the
entire period of the study. Thus our superior performance is not due to diversification
alone. |
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