| The Capitalization Rate of Commercial
Properties and Market Returns Author: G. Donald Jud and Daniel T. Winkler
Start Page: 509
End Page: 518
Volume: 10
Issue Number: 5
Year: 1995
Publication: Journal of Real Estate Research
Abstract: This study develops a
model of real estate cap rates that draws on the weighted average cost of capital (WACC)
theory and the capital asset pricing model (CAPM) in the finance literature. The model
indicates cap rates are determined by debt and equity spreads. The debt spread is the
risky debt rate less the risk-free rate, and the equity spread is the return on the market
less the risk-free rate. The empirical results support the importance of both spreads;
however, cap rates respond with significant adjustment lags to changes in capital market
spreads. Our findings support the widely held belief that real estate markets are
information inefficient and segmented from the national capital market.
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