| Borrower Risk Signaling Using
Loan-to-Value Ratios Author:
Donald R. Epley, Dartono Liano, and Richard L. Haney, Jr.
Start Page: 71
End Page: 86
Volume: 11
Issue Number: 1
Year: 1996
Publication: Journal of Real Estate Research
Abstract: This paper evaluates
the signaling capability of the borrower's selected loan-to-value ratio, and finds the
equity proportion of housing capital to be a good indicator of the loan's riskiness. It
also compares residential mortgage bundles among the commonly used statistical models of
multiple discriminant analysis, probit and logit. Classification accuracy and significance
are contrasted among the bundles using loan-to-value ratios of 80%, 90% and 95%. The
results show major differences in significance and sign changes among loan-to-value ratio
levels and the choice of model. All models were highly significant, but classified
different variables with substantial differences in the significance levels.
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