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Volume 29, Number 3, 2007 of the Journal of Real Estate Research

Multiple Transactions Model:
A Panel Data Approach to Estimate Housing Market Indices
 

Andre H. Gao
Fannie Mae
3900 Wisconsin Avenue, N.W.
Washington, DC 20016
Email: andre_h_gao@fanniemae.com
 

George H. K. Wang
Finance Department
School of Management
George Mason University
Fairfax, Virginia 22030
Email: gwang2@gmu.edu

 

Abstract:

In this paper, a multiple transactions model with a panel data approach is used to estimate housing market indices. The multiple transactions model keeps the same features of the repeat transactions index model (i.e., tracking the price appreciation of same houses). However, the multiple transactions model overcomes the shortcomings of the repeat transactions model by avoiding the correlated error terms. The indicative empirical analysis on a small sample of actual house transaction data demonstrates that the proposed multiple transactions model is superior to the repeat transactions model in terms of index variance, robustness of estimate, index revision volatility, and out-of-sample prediction of individual house prices.


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